Preprint Open access
Most existing time series generators rely on a two-stage modeling paradigm: the first stage learns discrete latent representations of time series; the second stage performs autoregressive modeling on these discrete latents through next token prediction. However, this paradigm suffers from two stage-specific limitations …
Preprint Open access
Existing multimodal time series foundation models (TSFMs) typically model heterogeneous modalities through largely shared mechanisms, overlooking the distinct forecasting roles of endogenous and exogenous modalities. In this work, we propose QiYao-M, a role-aware multimodal TSFM that models the two types of modalities …
Preprint Open access
Future exogenous variables provide valuable information for forecasting endogenous time series. Existing covariate-aware methods primarily learn the direct influence of exogenous variables on endogenous variables. However, these effects can be complex and change with the pattern of the exogenous variables, making them …