Preprint Open access
Long chain-of-thought reasoning increases sequential decoding cost while creating a growing history of potentially reusable continuations. We investigate when this history supplies useful drafts and complements an existing drafter. Controlled source comparisons reveal trajectory-specific reuse, motivating our method Tr …
Preprint Open access
Understanding and assessing natural hazards is essential for disaster preparedness and risk reduction. Recent advances in large language models have spurred growing interest in AI agents for hazard analysis, particularly their ability to integrate scientific data, models, and tools into automated workflows. However, ef …
Preprint Open access
LLM compression reduces inference costs and memory requirements, but selecting a method and configuration remains largely empirical because comparable resource reductions can produce different capability losses. We systematically investigate capability scaling-down laws for LLM compression across pruning, quantization, …
Preprint Open access
Large language models (LLMs) deployed through text-only APIs face model extraction risks, as adversaries can collect their responses to train surrogates that reproduce their capabilities. While prior work has developed diverse attacks and defenses, evaluations remain fragmented across access assumptions, model configur …
Preprint Open access
Spatial-temporal (ST) forecasting underpins many real-world systems such as traffic, climate, and energy networks. While existing methods implicitly assume strong spatiotemporal coupling, we observe that real-world ST data exhibits distinct coupling regimes, ranging from temporal-dominated and spatial-dominated to stro …
Preprint Open access
Reasoning distillation from powerful teacher models to smaller students faces the Gap Curse: as teachers grow more sophisticated, their complex distributions increasingly diverge from what students can approximate, causing performance degradation. Existing mitigation strategies either filter out challenging examples th …