Preprint Open access
Adaptive model search is path dependent: once a challenger is adopted, it becomes the reference from which later candidates are generated. A statistically unsupported replacement can therefore alter hypotheses that have not yet been proposed. We introduce Evidence-Gated Research (EGR), a statistical adoption layer for …
Preprint Open access
Benchmark gains are often mechanism-ambiguous: reproducing an improvement does not by itself identify why it occurs. We study finite-library mechanism discrimination, where posterior-weighted candidate mechanisms, executable probes, and a limited experimental budget define a sequential experiment-selection problem. MEC …
Preprint Open access
A key bottleneck in adversarial transfer is a trajectory-level geometric disconnect: ambient gradients often drift away from the intrinsic data manifold, causing surrogate-specific overfitting. To rectify this, we propose Manifold Anchored Bilevel Transfer (MABT), a unified framework that anchors adversarial trajectori …