Preprint Open access
Forecasting the Growth of Social Media Information Cascades: Towards Human-in-the-Loop Misinformation Triage
Limited review teams must identify which emerging claims are likely to keep growing before their eventual reach is known. We center early misinformation triage on this continuation-forecasting problem: predicting subsequent recorded propagation-tree growth from the first 30 minutes of activity. On FibVID, we compare ea …