Residual Learning in Empirical Asset Pricing

Abstract

Shallow models are special cases of deep models, and deep models theoretically have the potential to outperform the shallow ones. However, the existing empirical asset pricing literature provides strong benchmarks for shallow models. Residual learning allows neural network models in asset pricing to go deeper by preserving and refining their shallow counterparts. The out-of-sample Sharpe ratio for value-weighted long-short portfolios of deep residual models (2.07) is higher than that for the corresponding shallow ones (1.92) and more than twice that of the deep feedforward models (0.89). We show that model depth is a source of additional economic value in asset pricing. Residual learning can be used to deepen other neural-network-based asset pricing models if they contain intermediate layers. Our design also provides one way to scale asset pricing models, making native "large asset pricing models" more feasible.

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