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المنشورات 5

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Auditing Routing Entropy as an Uncertainty Signal in Attention-Residual Transformers

Dynamic architectures leave a per-example routing trace beside each prediction, and diffuse routing is easy to read as a sign that the prediction is unreliable. We audit that reading for routing entropy in Attention-Residual (AR) variants of Swin-Tiny and DeiT-Small, trained from scratch on CIFAR-10/100 with a soft-bin …

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How Much Can Reliability Drift Under a Fixed Confidence Distribution?

A classifier's conditional accuracy can change while its confidence distribution stays exactly the same. We study the worst-case movement of the reliability relation under covariate shifts that preserve the distribution of the confidence score, constraining the reweighting within each confidence level by a $χ^2$ budget …

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Signal-Routed Temperature Scaling: Low-Capacity Risk-Conditioned Calibration for Small Validation Budgets

When a classifier is recalibrated from only a few thousand held-out examples, the capacity of the calibration map becomes a statistical design choice rather than a purely architectural one: a scalar map can underfit structured residual miscalibration, while a highly adaptive map can be hard to estimate reliably from so …

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Routing Probes Can Improve Without New Information: An Exact-Null Audit of Uncertainty Beyond Model Outputs

Routing signals of modern vision transformers -- expert gates, attention-residual weights and halting scores -- often improve probes that predict whether the model is correct, and the improvement is commonly read as evidence that routing carries information about errors beyond the model's outputs. We test this inferenc …

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